Best Player Prop Picks for NFL Divisional Round Sunday: Load Up on 5 Overs!

Matt Brown
by Matt Brown | Published: January 18, 2024 | Updated: January 23, 2024

Detroit hosts the scrappy Tampa Bay Buccaneers after their dominating performance against the Eagles, while we get another version of Mahomes vs. Allen in Buffalo this Sunday.

Get the best player prop picks for the Sunday games of the NFL Divisional Round right here. Good luck!

The Lions only threw 27 passes last week - and Amon-Ra’s over still hit. The Tampa Bay defense played well against Philly last week, but the Lions’ offense is more potent and healthy.

They should have their way against Tampa, who allow 36 pass attempts per contest and the 4th most WR yards in the league. Look for the superstar wideout to hit this mark for the fourth time in his last five games.

WR Mike Evans (TB) OVER 69.5 REC YDS

With Mike Evans dropping a few targets that he should’ve had against Philly, expect a bounce-back game for the wideout against a Lions defense that has allowed over 140 yards to the opposing WR1 in their past four games (Puka, Jefferson, CeeDee, Jefferson).

With a positive game script for Evans and the passing game, 70 yards should be a fairly easy mark to hit against a reeling secondary.

DB L’Jarius Sneed (KC) OVER 5.0 TCK

Shadowing Stefon Diggs is no easy task, but as a prop bettor, look for Sneed to lead the Kansas City DB room in tackles. In his last game against the Bills, Sneed had 7 tackles while limiting Diggs to just four catches.

We like Sneed to make a huge impact for an improved Chiefs defense on Sunday.

QB Patrick Mahomes (KC) OVER 28.5 RUSH YDS

With the Chiefs offense not exactly as potent as it once was, look for Pat Mahomes to pick up a handful of first downs using his legs rather than relying on other options outside of Rice and Kelce.

The still-superstar QB hit this mark in 10 of 16 games in the regular season before torching Miami for 41 yards in the snowy conditions last week. With Pat dropping 69 yards on the ground in their last playoff meeting, look for some breakaway runs to keep his squad in what should be a close outing in Buffalo.

QB Josh Allen (BUF) OVER 33.5 PASS ATT

Allen has hit this mark in four of his last five outings in the regular season and playoffs against Kansas City. With the Kansas City defense due to limit James Cook on the ground, look for short completions to all three of Cook, Kincaid, and Diggs all game to try and get the offense going.

Josh threw the ball 42 times in his last outing vs Kansas City, so we like him to hit the over again in what could be the best game of the Divisional Round.

Matt Brown

With an unwavering passion for sports betting and daily fantasy sports, Matt brings a wealth of knowledge in football, hockey, and baseball to the team at Hello Rookie. His innovative insights are shaped by his extensive academic background, boasting a B.S. in Aeronautical Computer Science and a M.S. in Project Management. Matt's unique blend of sports enthusiasm and technical expertise drives his cutting-edge contributions to the platform.

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