Both MNF Games - Best Pick'em Picks for Underdog

Matt Brown
by Matt Brown | Published: September 15, 2023

With not just one, but two Monday Night Football matchups on the horizon, the possibilities for crafting the perfect Underdog prop bet are boundless.

New Orleans’ tough defense takes on the number one overall pick as the Browns and Steelers battle for the AFC North title early on in the season. Enjoy our picks and best of luck in Week 2 of play!

RB Jamaal Williams (NO) OVER 52.5 RUSH YDS

Williams had a tough Week 1 matchup against Tennessee but gets a Carolina defense that just allowed 130 rush yards and 3 total touchdowns to Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allegier of the Falcons.

Jamaal’s 20 total touches last week shouldn’t lower heading into Monday’s game due to Alvin Kamara’s absence and a positive game script for the former Packer and Lion Running Back.

The Saints should commit to the run game early, so this number is getable for one of the more underrated NFC running backs.

QB Bryce Young (CAR) OVER 0.5 INT

I’m a huge fan of Bryce Young and his future in Carolina. However, in Week 2 of his rookie season against one of the top defenses in the league, I’m bullish. Young had just two red zone attempts, bad blocking, two interceptions, and just a 52% completion percentage in his debut.

Facing Dennis Allen’s Saints in his second game will be a tough battle to overcome and although his unit finished with just seven interceptions last season, takeaways have already been a focal point. The team intercepted Ryan Tannehill three times in the Dome last week.

RB Miles Sanders (CAR) UNDER 59.5 RUSH YDS

The Saints allowed just 63 rush yards on 15 carries to King Henry last week. The Titans have a better scheme and offensive line, and with Henry ultimately being the superior back to Sanders, it is tough to envision Miles hitting the 60-yard mark here.

While he should have a positive impact in the passing game in Frank Reich’s system, expect the Saints stifling defense to shut Sanders down in his home debut.

RB Nick Chubb (CLE) OVER 0.5 TDS

After 106 yards on the ground terrorizing the Bengals defense, Nick Chubb heads to Pittsburgh where he found the paydirt in both matchups last season.

In red zone situations, we know Stefanski will methodically drive the ball down to the five or ten yard line before the offensive line pushes Chubb into the end zone. 

In games where Nick played 50% or more of snaps over the past two seasons, he’s scored 21 TDs in 25 games. Expect Chubb to have a huge impact and find the end zone in this game.

QB Kenny Pickett (PIT) OVER 203.5 PASS YDS

I’m not hitting the panic meter on Kenny Pickett just yet. The San Francisco 49ers have one of the best defenses in the league and Kenny’s advanced stats tell us he’s ready to have a positive game against the division rival Browns.

A combination of coming 1st in red zone attempts and 2nd in pressure throws tells us that Tomlin should adjust the offense to make Pickett throw early and often to their playmakers including 2nd year wideout George Pickens who should have a huge day.

In a tightly contested game, I’m banking on Pickett throwing the ball upwards of 35 times which should get us to that 204-yard marker.

Matt Brown

With an unwavering passion for sports betting and daily fantasy sports, Matt brings a wealth of knowledge in football, hockey, and baseball to the team at Hello Rookie. His innovative insights are shaped by his extensive academic background, boasting a B.S. in Aeronautical Computer Science and a M.S. in Project Management. Matt's unique blend of sports enthusiasm and technical expertise drives his cutting-edge contributions to the platform.

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