Chiefs at Ravens: Top AFC Championship Game Player Props

Matt Brown
by Matt Brown | Published: January 26, 2024

While Pat Mahomes should keep Kansas City in the game with his arm, look for Lamar Jackson to hit his rushing totals in what could become an instant classic in Baltimore. Get all the top player prop picks for the AFC Championship Game right here! Good luck!

QB Patrick Mahomes (KC) OVER 1.5 PASS TD

Another big game in late January, another Patrick Mahomes appearance. While Baltimore has been the better squad in every aspect this season, the Chiefs simply won’t go away.

They are knocking at the front door of winning their 3rd Super Bowl title and if we have learned anything from the Reid/Mahomes era in KC, it’s that you don’t bet against the assassin.

Patrick has averaged over 2.3 TDs per outing in 16 playoff games and although the Ravens’ defense will cause problems, they haven’t figured the opposing QB out. The former MVP averages 3 TD passes per game in four career outings against Baltimore.

QB Lamar Jackson (BAL) OVER 10.5 RUSH ATT

The Texans' defense couldn’t handle Jackson last week as he ran the ball 11 times for over 100 yards to run away with the game in the 2nd half.

While we don’t expect Lamar to hit the 100-yard marker rushing-wise, Steve Spagnuolo’s defense should give Lamar running room while limiting the deep plays.

The potential MVP has hit the 11 rush total twice in four career games against Kansas City. Again, while he might struggle to hit his usual deep plays, look for his rushing stats to mirror his averages against KC.

WR Rashee Rice (KC) UNDER 8.0 TARGETS

Although Rashee Rice is one of our favorite rookie wideouts, 8 targets in the AFC Championship game against a tough defense is a tough mark to hit.

Rice has only hit this mark six times including the playoffs, and with Baltimore’s defense historically unable to figure Travis Kelce out, look for Rice’s target total to sit at the 6 or 7 mark while Pat spreads the ball around.

WR Zay Flowers (BAL) OVER 44.5 YDS

A factor in the rush and passing game, Zay Flowers should have himself a day against Kansas City. The rookie wideout has hit this mark in three of the last five while becoming Lamar’s favorite target outside the numbers.

Even with Andrews returning, look for Flowers to be an instant factor.

Matt Brown

With an unwavering passion for sports betting and daily fantasy sports, Matt brings a wealth of knowledge in football, hockey, and baseball to the team at Hello Rookie. His innovative insights are shaped by his extensive academic background, boasting a B.S. in Aeronautical Computer Science and a M.S. in Project Management. Matt's unique blend of sports enthusiasm and technical expertise drives his cutting-edge contributions to the platform.

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