MNF: Best Underdog Fantasy Picks for Broncos at Bills

Matt Brown
by Matt Brown | Published: November 10, 2023

The 3-5 Broncos head to chilly Buffalo to take on the 5-4 Bills, who are currently out of a playoff spot in the AFC. With both of these rush defenses lacking to create stops this season, bet on Javonte Williams and Josh Allen to lead the way on the ground for each of these offenses.

RB Javonte Williams (DEN) OVER 54.5 RUSH YDS

With the Buffalo Bills allowing an astounding 5.6 YPC to running backs, Javonte Williams has a case to hit the 82-yard mark on the ground for his third consecutive game.

Since missing their matchup against the Jets, JWill has seen the bulk of the carries for 219 yards and a score negating McLaughlin and Perine’s value. With Buffalo allowing over 130 total yards per contest to RBs, Javonte’s tough north-to-south running should be on your prop radar for Monday night.

WR Jerry Jeudy (DEN) UNDER 50.5 REC YDS

The inconsistency of Jerry Jeudy lives on for yet another season. Jeudy has only hit this over three times, while the Broncos can’t seem to get any offense churning under Payton and Wilson.

With Buffalo allowing the 2nd-least YPG to wideouts, the Broncos' top option is in a difficult spot with this game being won and lost on the ground with Williams, Cook, and Allen.

K Will Lutz (DEN) OVER 5.5 KICK PTS

Lutz’s 6 or more points is a must-bet this week. While Denver might struggle to find success in the red zone, Lutz has seen success in these past few weeks with 3 XP in Week 9 and 4 FGM in Week 8.

Buffalo’s defense allows nearly 2 FG per contest to opposing kickers, so with Wilson and Williams finding their form for Denver, bet on Lutz to hit his over on primetime.

QB Josh Allen (BUF) OVER 33.5 RUSH YDS

The duel-threat legend of Josh Allen lives on. The Buffalo QB has rushed for 34 yards or more in four contests while rushing in for a score in each of the last three games.

Denver allows 154 YPG on the ground, so Josh Allen securing his fifth 34+ rush yard game is on the bingo card on Monday.

TE Dalton Kincaid (BUF) OVER 5.0 REC

With Stefon Diggs listed as questionable, Dalton Kincaid should step up as Josh Allen’s number-one target. Reaching the 80% snap share mark for 2 consecutive games for the first time in his career,

Dalton has recorded 5+ receptions and 65+ yards in the past three games and would get a huge added boost if Diggs isn’t able to suit up against the Broncos.

Matt Brown

With an unwavering passion for sports betting and daily fantasy sports, Matt brings a wealth of knowledge in football, hockey, and baseball to the team at Hello Rookie. His innovative insights are shaped by his extensive academic background, boasting a B.S. in Aeronautical Computer Science and a M.S. in Project Management. Matt's unique blend of sports enthusiasm and technical expertise drives his cutting-edge contributions to the platform.

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