3 NFL Players We Hate at Their Current ADP
Redraft season is officially upon us, people! There are less than 50 days until the NFL Season kicks off, and if you’re anything like me, you are chomping at the bit to draft.
The end of July typically signals the time that the average fantasy player begins their analysis in hopes of winning their coveted league trophy. Today, we’re going to look at the current redraft ADP, identifying players that we are either avoiding entirely or that we despise at their current value.
We’ll also discuss players that you can pivot to as a replacement, hoping to help make a difference in your drafts! All information will be taken from Fantasy Pros, and this ADP is specifically for PPR formats.
Tony Pollard: Current ADP 20, RB7
I want to start this with a disclaimer that I don’t hate Tony Pollard as a player. I think he has the potential to crack the top 12 of RB scoring this season, given his pass-catching upside at the position.
However, I think his ADP is far too high at the moment. While he’s slated to be the RB1 in the Cowboys’ offense now that Ezekiel Elliott is gone, he’s being taken ahead of several running backs that I have ranked above him. In late round two, I’d much rather take a receiver like DeVonta Smith, Tee Higgins, or DK Metcalf.
If you find yourself in this position, my recommendation would be to pivot to running back, seeing if Pollard makes it back to you in the third. If he doesn’t, I’d be perfectly content with either Derrick Henry, Jahmyr Gibbs, or even Joe Mixon. For Mixon in particular, you could probably wait until the late third or early fourth to grab him, given his current ADP of 47.5.
Rhamondre Stevenson: Current ADP 27.5, RB9
Let’s keep the running back train moving. Honestly, when I saw how inflated Stevenson’s ADP was, I nearly gagged. Many in the community believe that Stevenson has a chance to be a top-12 back this season, but I don’t share the same sentiment.
For one, the Patriots are in a do-or-die situation in 2023. Bill Belichick is on the hot seat, and Mac Jones needs to prove his worth, especially given that he was a first-round pick. I believe that the Patriots will throw the ball significantly more this season, leading to a lessened workload for Stevenson.
This isn’t to mention the fact that the Patriots have brought in a few different running backs during the offseason, mainly veteran guys, to fill the RB2 role. If they were truly confident in Stevenson’s ability to lead the backfield, they wouldn’t even consider bringing in a veteran and sticking with the players they have.
If you’re going to pivot in this spot, I’d suggest taking an elite quarterback like Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, or Jalen Hurts. If that doesn’t sound appealing, I’d recommend Mark Andrews, solidifying your tight end position.
Tee Higgins: Current ADP 24, WR14
Similar to Pollard, we like Higgins’ potential this season. He’s tied to Joe Burrow, which is generally regarded as a good thing.
However, in the two years that Ja’Marr Chase has been on the roster, Higgins’ best fantasy finish was at WR16, which came last season. Higgins averaged 14.9 PPR points per game in 2022, a number that will be capped as long as Chase is on the field.
When I’m making my second-round pick in a fantasy draft, I want a player who has a top-five upside at their position. Because I don’t think Higgins has that potential, I would be happy to take either DK Metcalf, Jalen Hurts, or Mark Andrews in this spot, who are all currently being drafted behind him.