NFL Week 4 Pick'em Picks for Underdog and Vivid Picks

Nicholas Berault
By Nicholas BeraultPublished: September 27, 2023
NFL Week 4 Pick'em Picks for Underdog and Vivid Picks

Heading into Week 4, take Justin Jefferson and Keenan Allen to continue to decimate secondaries while Bijan Robinson could have a breakout game at Wembley Stadium. Also, is it finally time to sell Najee Harris and Zach Wilson on Underdog?

RB Bijan Robinson (ATL) OVER 22.5 REC YDS

Robinson takes on a Jaguars defense that has allowed six catches per game to running backs so far. With this game played in London at Wembley Stadium, expect Ridder to check down early and often to his best playmaker who has gone over 23 receiving yards in every game this season.

While we could see Tyler Allgeier getting more goal-line work, expect Bijan to continue to impact this passing attack while maintaining his incredible mark of around 6 yards per touch.

WR Justin Jefferson (MIN) OVER 103.5 REC YDS

Justin Jefferson had an injury scare at the end of the Chargers bout on Sunday, but that won’t stop us from taking the star wideout who has gone over 150 yards in all three games this season.

While the Vikings sit at 0-3, expect Cousins to go Jefferson’s way early and often, in order to ensure this team isn’t playing from behind. This Carolina defense has been solid against opposing receivers, but Jefferson is unlike any other in this league.

WR Stefon Diggs (BUF) OVER 6.5 REC

Not only has Stefon Diggs hit this mark in every game of the season, but the veteran wideout has gone for 7+ receptions in three straight games for the first time since the early stages of last season.

It seems like the chemistry between Diggs and Allen is right where it should be. The Bills face a Miami defense that has allowed over 16 receptions per game to opposing wideouts, primarily because of the game script that has flipped on its side after a few Tyreek Hill touchdowns and celebrations among the crowd.

In what should become a back-and-forth game, expect Tyreek and Stefon to dominate on offense as their QBs will trust them to make game-winning plays from the first snap. We’re all in on Diggs continuing his 7+ reception streak this week.

RB Najee Harris (PIT) UNDER 51.5 RUSH YDS

It’s been a rough start to the season for Najee Harris, maintaining a sub 4.0 YPC mark while backup Jaylen Warren has averaged over 8 yards per catch through the air.

Given Houston’s rather rowdy defense against the Ravens and Jaguars in recent weeks, we expect Warren to eat even more of Najee’s touches this week while Harris continues to struggle to move the ball vertically.

WR Keenan Allen (LAC) OVER 82.5 REC YDS

Keenan Allen has arguably taken the crown as the top wideout through three weeks of play. Over the past two weeks, Allen has posted an 8-reception, 111-yard, 2-TD game and followed it up last week with 215 yards on 18 catches in a narrow victory against Minnesota to put LA in the win column.

He faces a Las Vegas secondary that has allowed nearly 2 TDs per game to opposing receivers and doesn't have a single player on defense that Allen should be scared to go against. We are expecting another week of huge output for Justin Herbert’s WR1.

QB Zach Wilson (NYJ) UNDER 177.5 PASS YDS

The Chiefs are coming off a blowout win against Chicago, have Taylor Swift in their box suite, and now get to face the New York Jets led by Zach Wilson. This defense is licking their chops.

Wilson hasn’t hit this number all season and will now face a Kansas City defense that has allowed less than 20 completions and 1 TD per game since the season began. It’s safe to say that we are riding against Wilson once again in a tough matchup that could see him getting benched by Saleh early.

Nicholas Berault

Nicholas Berault

DFS Writer

Nicholas contributes a decade of expertise in sports betting and daily fantasy sports to our squad. As a player prop expert with a degree from Penn State University, he's well-versed in the field. Nicholas relishes a relaxing game of golf during his leisure time and provides coverage across the NFL, NBA, baseball, college football, and college basketball. Currently, Mr. Berault is experiencing a successful streak with his NFL top picks, making them worth a look!