NFL Week 7 Pick'em Picks for Underdog

Chris Lollis
By Chris LollisPublished: October 18, 2023
NFL Week 7 Pick'em Picks for Underdog

We are banking on some shootouts in Week 7 as the former MVP Lamar Jackson headlines our favorite Week 7 player props.

As for the running backs, Kenneth Walker and Brian Robinson should dominate in divisional matchups while Javonte Williams might take a backseat this week.

QB Lamar Jackson (BAL) OVER 217.5 PASS YDS

Lamar Jackson has hit this mark in two straight games. Zay Flowers and Mark Andrews are emerging as an elite 1-2 punch for the former MVP.

The Detroit Lions are allowing 361 YPG through the air. This is an elite matchup for Jackson and there should be fireworks on both sidelines with two animated coaches and potent offenses.

It’s tough to see the Lions stopping Jackson through the air or on the ground. He becomes the top QB option this week in prop bets and DFS lineups.

QB Gardner Minshew II (IND) UNDER 216.5 PASS YDS

To our benefit, Minshew’s passing stats skyrocketed last week due to the Jags forcing four turnovers on Minshew and leading for a large chunk of the game.

Cleveland has a worse offense but has the best defense in the league that could easily send Gardner to the bench later in the game. The Browns have 15 sacks in just five games and allow the least completions and yards per game to the QB position.

This is a matchup nightmare for the Colts playmakers against the top defensive unit in the league.

RB Brian Robinson (WAS) OVER 56.5 RUSH YDS

The Giants are allowing over 117 yards per game on the ground to the RB position and Brian Robinson, who has put together three weeks of 50 yards or less, should bounce back against one of the worst units in the league.

Even against a better Giants defense last season, BRob rushed for 96 yards and 89 yards, decimating Daboll’s defense.

With Eric Bienemy on his side, Robinson should get back on track with a positive game script and a trench battle that should be won by Washington.

QB Josh Dobbs (ARI) OVER 218.5 PASS YDS

The Seattle Seahawks are a tough team to understand. They were one play away from sitting at 4-1, have an elite offense that hasn’t produced much this season, and a defense that allows 447 yards per game through the air including nearly 3 passing TDs per game.

In reality, this team should be 1-4. Facing Arizona and Dobbs, this game could become a shootout, or Seattle could run away with it. Either way, Dobbs should be given a positive game script to hit this mark for the fourth time this season.

With James Conner on IR, the ‘Zona passing game should become more of a focal point for Gannon.

RB Kenneth Walker II (SEA) OVER 70.5 RUSH YDS

Sticking with this matchup, Ken Walker hasn’t lost a step since last season averaging 4.16 YPC and already scoring six TDs in just five games so far.

The Arizona defense allows just under 100 yards per game on the ground to RBs and has allowed McCaffrey, Mixon, and Kyren Williams to reach this mark in the last three games.

Walker could have a huge day and become a solid DFS player as well in a positive matchup.

RB Javonte Williams (DEN) UNDER 53.5 RUSH YDS

As expected, the Sean Payton-led Broncos are going nowhere. Unfortunately for Javonte Williams, that means not seeing more than 15 touches per game.

With Perine and McLaughlin also involved to eat up the snap share, it is tough to see Williams hitting the 50-yard mark against a refreshed Green Bay defense that ranks in the bottom five in targets per game and receiving YPG to RBs.

Expect the running back by committee to get more involved in the receiving game rather than rushing against Green Bay.

Chris Lollis

Chris Lollis

Chief Content Officer

Chris Lollis, the visionary behind EatWatchDraft, serves as its principal editor. His journey spans over a decade in the sports betting realm, capturing key moments from the overturning of PASPA to the advent of sports wagering across numerous states. Chris enriches EWD with his creation of in-depth guides, insightful reviews, and strategic betting recommendations.