Our 3 Favorite TE Props for 2023 NFL Season
Tight ends can be one of the most fun positions to bet on, but they can also be some of the most frustrating. Usage can vary season-by-season, especially if teams bring in new receivers, either via the draft or free agency.
While there are some unknowns about a few tight ends across the league, we thought we’d take a look at our favorite season-long props at the position based on their value and our projections for each player.
Travis Kelce OVER 9.5 Receiving Touchdowns
Is there a better tight end-quarterback combination in the league than Kelce and Patrick Mahomes? These two have a clear rapport both on and off the field, which tends to show itself during some of the Chiefs’ biggest moments.
Many regard Kelce as one of, if not the best, receiving tight end in NFL history, and he hasn’t shown any signs of aging or slowing down. He has achieved 10 or more touchdowns in two of the last three seasons, and we’re anticipating more of the same in 2023.
Kelce is Mahomes’ number-one target by a longshot. He’ll be called upon in crucial moments, especially considering that the Chiefs just got rid of Juju Smith-Schuster, and their receiving room is the youngest it has been in quite some time.
While the young players take some time to get used to this offensive system, look for Kelce to score a lot this season, resulting in him smashing the over on his touchdown prop.
Mark Andrews OVER 899.5 Receiving Yards
While Kelce might be the best tight end in the league, Mark Andrews is frequently touted as a close second in the position. Like Kelce, Andrews is the top target in his offense, and he’s established quite the rapport with Lamar Jackson.
He has only eclipsed 899 yards once in his career, but we have reason to believe he’s going to achieve that again this season. The Ravens are slated to employ a new offensive scheme due to a new offensive coordinator in Todd Monken.
Monken isn’t afraid to let his quarterback loose, which likely indicates that Jackson will be tasked with throwing the ball more than he has in previous seasons. When he does throw the ball, Andrews will be a frequent recipient, which is why we’re projecting him to have at least 900 receiving yards this year.
Evan Engram UNDER 675.5 Receiving Yards
It does pain me to take unders, especially when it comes to season-long players. Typically, I root for players to succeed, and it’s fun for me to watch them go far above their totals.
However, I don’t have a lot of confidence in Engram to have another massive season with the Jaguars, especially due to the new weapons that Trevor Lawrence has to work with. Calvin Ridley’s presence alone causes trepidation for me, which is why I believe Engram will have less than 675.5 receiving yards this year.
The 2022 season was a statistical anomaly for Engram, as he had his highest single-season receiving yardage. Look for Engram to regress closer to his career mean this year, resulting in the under on his receiving yards.