Top 5 College Football Player Prop Bets Week 11
With only three weeks remaining in the college football regular season, multiple teams this week will be fighting for postseason pecking order. With big games – including two Top 12 showdowns – on tap, Week 11 should be one of the best the 2023 college football regular season offers.
Despite hitting on only one of four predictions last week, this author’s college football betting prognostications have hit over 75% this season, including multiple unblemished weeks. With last week safely in the rear-view mirror, let’s move on to the top five college football player prop bets for Week 11.
Kentucky Wildcats QB Devin Leary OVER 201.5 Passing Yards
Wildcats QB Devin Leary often is a game manager for Kentucky. The former NC State signal-caller has 1,905 passing yards this season, completing 57 percent of his throws with 18 TDs and seven INTs.
While Kentucky prefers to run, don’t expect the Wildcats to have much success against the Crimson Tide. Outside of a bad first half against Tennessee, Alabama has controlled the defensive line battles and punished offenses for running the ball against them.
Expect Leary and the Wildcats to have a similar experience this weekend, forcing Kentucky to throw against the Crimson Tide’s defense. Leary is capable of putting up big numbers, tossing for over 200 yards in five of his team’s nine games.
Colorado QB Shedeur Sanders OVER 268.5 Passing Yards
When Colorado HC Deion Sanders wants to ignite his offense, the NFL Hall of Fame coach turns to his son – QB Shedeur Sanders – for the spark. The younger Sanders obliged, completing 70 percent of his passes for 2,882 yards, 24 TDs, and three INTs in 2023.
Although Arizona – this week’s opponent – has limited their previous four opponents to under 280 passing yards, don’t expect the Wildcats to have similar success against the Buffaloes. At home, Sanders will showcase his NFL talent and eclipse the 268.5 passing yard mark on Saturday.
Washington RB Dillon Johnson UNDER 87.5 Rushing Yards
Against USC last week, Huskies RB Dillon Johnson had the game of his life. Johnson, a junior Mississippi State transfer, ran for 256 yards on 26 carries and scored four TDs. The performance was only Johnson’s second eclipsing the 100-yard rushing plateau ever.
Against Utah, however, Washington will have a tougher time running the football. Expect the Utes to force QB Michael Penix Jr to gain yards through the air while limiting the Huskies’ backfield to minimal yards. The Utes will clamp down on the running game, keeping Johnson from hitting this rushing mark on Saturday.
Tennessee WR Squirrel White OVER 62.5 Receiving Yards
Tennessee QB Joe Milton III has spread the field effectively this season. In completing nearly 65 percent of his passes, Milton has connected on double-digit completions with seven receiving options, all of which have over 100 yards receiving in 2023.
His leading option is sophomore WR Squirrel White. White leads the team in catches (45) and receiving yards (556) and has commanded double coverage from multiple opponents to open up other receiving options.
Against Missouri, White should gain at least 63 receiving yards in this SEC East matchup that should determine second place in the division. White has surpassed this figure only four times this season, but two of those times have come in the previous three weeks. Expect White and the Volunteers to keep racking up yards against the Tigers
Houston QB Donovan Smith OVER 27.5 Rushing Yards
Although Houston’s season has fallen well short of the team’s initial hopes, making a bowl appearance this year is well within the Cougar’s reach. QB Donovan Smith is behind his team’s success in 2023, passing for 2,303 yards and 18 TDs to lead Houston’s Air Raid offense.
The Cincinnati Bearcats – this week’s opponent for Houston – are extremely susceptible to running QBs, evidenced by Brett Gabbert’s nine-rush, 75-yard performance for Miami (Ohio) earlier this season. Last week, UCF QB John Rhys Plumlee added to that list by netting 53 yards and a touchdown against Cincinnati in 13 carries.
Expect Smith to use his feet to beat the Bearcats. Smith has rushed for 253 yards on 98 attempts, and the Cougars QB has surpassed the 27.5 rushing mark six out of nine games this year. He’ll continue dissecting defenses with his feet this week for the Cougars.
