Top Season Long RB Props for 2023
The running back position has taken an interesting turn in the NFL. Players like Dalvin Cook and Ezekiel Elliott have been cut from their respective rosters, waiting to get a new contract from a potential employer.
Saquon Barkley, who is widely viewed as one of the top running backs of the last decade, still waits for a contract extension from the New York Giants. He’s currently slated to play under the franchise tag but has yet to sign his deal.
Despite the current state of the position, it’s still among the most crucial across the league. Establishing the run is one of the more important things an offense can do, as it allows them to fully tap into their passing game. Today, we’re going to establish the run as well, analyzing PrizePicks top running back props for the 2023 NFL season.
Jahmyr Gibbs OVER 625.5 Rushing Yards
This is by far our favorite over of the year thus far. Gibbs’ line is just 625.5 rushing yards, a number that we believe he’ll achieve with ease. Gibbs was a highly-touted running back prospect, finishing his collegiate career with a 926-yard season at Alabama.
His talent, mixed with his first-round capital by the Detroit Lions, indicates that the team is ecstatic to use him in their offense. The Lions surprised many last year, finding themselves atop the league in many offensive categories.
We’re anticipating more of the same, which is why we’re taking Gibbs’ over in this season-long prop.
Bijan Robinson OVER 1099.5 Rushing Yards
If you thought Gibbs was a great prospect, you’ll love watching Robinson. He was the first running back taken in this year’s draft, and many have compared his potential impact to that of Saquon Barkley or Christian McCaffrey.
While we’re not going to project Barkley’s rookie year onto Robinson, we do believe that he will hit the over on his season rushing total. The Falcons have shown a tendency to run the ball at all times, even when they are behind.
This is a great opportunity for Robinson to showcase his skills in year one, establishing himself as a dominant RB1 in the NFL. With that in mind, we’re confident in Robinson’s ability to rush for at least 1,100 yards this year.
Kenneth Walker III UNDER 950.5 Rushing Yards
If I’m completely honest, it pains me to write this about Walker. He was one of my favorite prospects in the 2022 NFL Draft, and I was excited to see him receive a massive workload in year one.
However, the Seahawks made me nervous when they took Zach Charbonnet in the second round of this year’s draft. If they were confident in Walker’s ability to be their featured back, they would never have used early-round capital on Charbonnet.
Walker did have 1,050 rushing yards on just 228 attempts last season, but because of the smaller workload that we’re projecting, we expect Walker to hit the under on this year’s rushing total.