Vikings at Eagles: Best Underdog Props for Thursday
With just one week in the books, we don’t know everything about the Vikings and Eagles just yet. However, turning the corner into Week 2, the Vikings might need to sound the alarm after an abysmal loss to the Bucs, while Philly looks to build off their close victory in New England.
Cousins vs. Hurts. Jefferson vs. Brown. Here are the best prop bets for two of the top NFC squads that will face off to begin Week 2.
QB Kirk Cousins (MIN) OVER 24.5 completions
The Minnesota Vikings tend to throw the football an awful lot. The Minnesota Vikings tend to throw the football an awful lot when playing against upper-echelon opponents.
Last season, they had a fairly easy schedule, but Cousins completed 25 or more passes eight times including in games against Miami, the Giants, Lions, Pats, Bills, and the Eagles. While Week 1’s game script supported Kirk throwing the ball 44 times for 33 completions, this game should be no different.
Without Dalvin Cook and with the addition of Jordan Addison through the draft, we can speculate that Cousins finishing the season atop the completion and attempts ladder will come true.
Against an Eagles defense that lost pieces but still looks intact, expect Kevin O’Connell and Cousins to dial up pass plays of all kinds as they will find themselves trailing for a portion of this TNF matchup.
RB Alexander Mattison (MIN) OVER 15.5 REC YDS
Dating back to his rookie season in 2019, Mattison never went under the 15-yard receiving mark when his snap percentage was above 50%. That was until this past Sunday against Tampa Bay.
Week 1 is always full of shocks and rust and I think while Minnesota should be concerned about the loss to a Baker Mayfield-led NFC South team, the panic meter shouldn’t be hit just yet.
To open up the run game for Mattison (just 34 yards last week), O’Connell needs to get him involved in the receiving game. An explosive playmaker in 1 on 1 situation, I’m expecting a huge night for Mattison in the receiving game as Philly will have their hands full with Addison, Jefferson, and Hockenson.
TE T.J. Hockenson (MIN) UNDER 47.5 REC YDS
The Philadelphia defense has been outstanding against TEs in recent years. That dominance will continue on Thursday Night against one of the Vikings’ top options in T.J. Hockenson. Hock hauled in 8 of his 9 targets in Week 1 for just 35 yards.
While those horrific YPT and YPC numbers will bounce up eventually, it might have to wait another week. Philly’s defense ranks at the top of every fantasy football, PFF, and ESPN leaderboard so expect another dominant showing by them in the first half of this game.
Ultimately, buy Jefferson and Mattison to finish with the most yards for the purple and gold come Thursday while Hockenson might be a non-factor in the middle of the field.
QB Jalen Hurts (PHI) OVER 45.5 RUSH YDS
Game manager Jalen Hurts led the Eagles to a Week 1 victory, spoiling Brady’s return to Foxborough. Will we see game-manager Hurts in Week 2 or will it be MVP Jalen making a return to form?
While the Eagles' philosophy of using their RB-by-committee approach was in effect in their opener, Jalen Hurts holds a special spot on the top of their committee. Kenneth Gainwell’s 14 rushes and D’Andre Swift’s one rush cut into Hurts’ share as he finished with just 9 attempts.
Heading into a primetime game, I’m expecting Nick Sirianni to let Hurts off the leash and make plays for himself using his legs which made him an MVP contender last season.
WR DeVonta Smith (PHI) OVER 63.5 REC YDS
DeVonta Smith was one of the wideouts that flew under the radar in fantasy football, best ball, and other formats this offseason. The third-year receiver finished with nearly 1,200 yards and hauled in 7 TDs and followed that up with a 7 reception, 1 TD game in the Eagles opener.
If Minnesota just allowed Mayfield to hit Godwin and Evans for a combined 117 yards, the Smith/Brown receiving duo should terrorize the Vikings all night.
Dating back to last season, DeVonta had 10 games of 64 or more receiving yards including six straight to end the regular season. After a short turnaround for the Minnesota defense, I’m expecting a big day from the former Heisman wideout.