2 MLB Player Props for Friday, June 7

Nicholas Berault
By Nicholas BeraultPublished: June 7, 2024
2 MLB Player Props for Friday, June 7
Taylor Ward is part of our MLB player props card for Friday!

We got blanked yesterday when Ryan Mountcastle and Juan Soto failed to accumulate more than 1.5 total bases apiece in a pair of series finales for their teams. That 0-2 night brings our record for the 2024 season to an even 13-13.

We were due for a setback after a nice run through May and look to ensure our upward trend continues despite a tough result on Thursday. Friday’s schedule is another opportunity to take our pick from a full crop of games and find the winning props among the bunch.

Some intriguing matchups include the Dodgers playing the Yankees in the Bronx with Yoshinobu Yamamoto on the mound for LA and the start of an important series in the early American League postseason race between playoff hopefuls in the Mariners and Royals.

We’ve isolated a couple of best bets for Friday night and present our card and reasoning below.

 


Taylor Ward OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Ward has struggled recently, but much less against left-handed pitching than righties. His slash line of .348/.392/.478 when facing southpaws is outpacing those same stats by a good margin compared to his record against right-handers, and Ward is quite familiar with Houston’s big lefty, Framber Valdez, who will be on the bump today.

Valdez has finished in the top ten in AL Cy Young voting each of the last two seasons, but he has seen a regression in his performance during the early going this year. The Astros’ ace is striking out just 6.9 hitters per nine innings and has an ERA of 3.95 through 54.2 innings, his highest tally since 2019.

His propensity for inducing ground balls helps suppress run totals when he scatters hits, but he’s surrendering a BAbip of nearly .300 and allowing an average exit velocity of 91.9 miles per hour, the worst in his career.

Ward has gotten the better of Valdez in 31 career meetings, belting 14 hits and posting an OPS of 1.123 while getting on base better than half the time. Despite Ward having just two hits in his last 30 plate appearances, we’ll roll the dice on him to surpass 1.5 total bases today with some extra juice in our favor.

 

Marcus Semien UNDER 1.5 Total Bases

The Rangers’ second baseman is on a six-game hitting streak, matching his best mark during a season in which he’s continuing to do the Marcus Semien thing of playing all the time and being a consistent presence in the middle of the Ranger lineup.

He’s 13 plate appearances away from Mookie Betts’ league-leading 292, and his slash line stats are all within .01 of his career numbers. His OPS is down nearly 60 points from 2023, but his expected stats (xBA, xSLG, and xwOBA) are at least as high as they were a season ago, if not higher.

Semien, however, has not experienced much success when facing Giants’ ace Logan Webb in his career. The NL Cy Young runner-up from last season has a 2.77 FIP through 79.1 innings in 2024 despite a .323 BAbip and an average exit velocity allowed of 91.7 mph.

Webb has gone at least six innings in his last five starts, allowing two or fewer ER in four of five and eight earned runs overall for a 2.18 ERA in that span. We expect him to continue his strong form against right-handed hitters tonight (.606 OPS in 2024), Semien included.

Nicholas Berault

Nicholas Berault

DFS Writer

Nicholas contributes a decade of expertise in sports betting and daily fantasy sports to our squad. As a player prop expert with a degree from Penn State University, he's well-versed in the field. Nicholas relishes a relaxing game of golf during his leisure time and provides coverage across the NFL, NBA, baseball, college football, and college basketball. Currently, Mr. Berault is experiencing a successful streak with his NFL top picks, making them worth a look!