2 NBA Player Props Picks for Monday, April 1: Capela Should Crush Bulls Down Low

Matt Brown
By Matt BrownPublished: April 1, 2024
2 NBA Player Props Picks for Monday, April 1: Capela Should Crush Bulls Down Low

Another Monday and another two-pack of NBA props as the NBA schedule is back to the usual six-game slate. We’ll look to find some value in a couple of interesting matchups tonight.

Portland Trail Blazers at Orlando Magic

The Magic look to continue their playoff push against the lowly Blazers, who have packed it in for the season. I’m looking at Jalen Suggs in this matchup, who’s played very well since the all star break for the Magic. Throughout the year, Suggs has seen an uptick in his minutes, field goal attempts, and 3pt% and I like where his rolling averages are at the moment.

I’m surprised to see Jalen Suggs’ point total as low at 12.5, which is representative of his season averages. There is certainly blowout potential in this game, as the Magic find themselves as -15.5 point favorites tonight. This could impact Suggs’ output if starters are pulled early.

I’m encouraged by Suggs’ last game against the Grizzlies, where he scored 15 points on just 5 shot attempts in only 25 minutes. He might not be that efficient every night, but his 3pt% clip is encouraging and I think he’ll be able to exceed his point total early in this one against a soft matchup in the Trail Blazers.

On the season the Blazers have defended the three-point line decently well, despite their putrid record, but I don’t think that’s representative of their current state. It’s going to be a game of who’s who out there for Portland with many of their starters on the Injured List. There isn’t much perimeter defense being played in Portland so Suggs should have an easy time eclipsing their number.

Bet: Jalen Suggs OVER 12.5 points (-111) FanDuel

Atlanta Hawks at Chicago Bulls

We’re taking a look at Clint Capela in this matchup as he’s been on a bit of a hot streak along with the Atlanta Hawks, winning four of their last five games. Capela has been getting more minutes and a higher usage rate with Saddiq Bey, AJ Griffin, and Onyeka Okongwu out.

The Hawks like to play a small ball lineup but without many of their larger forwards, there’s only Bruno Fernandes healthy to back up Clint Capela. With Trae Young also down, the Hawks have played a different style with the ball primarily in the hands of Dejounte Murray.

Due to all the injuries on the Hawks, we’ve seen Capela’s average minutes tick up from 21 MPG in February to around 26 in March. We’re getting a points line at 12.5 as well as a rebound line at 12.5, yet FanDuel is offering a double-double line at -115.

There is potential for Jalen Johnson to return to the lineup, which should negatively impact the line. I think it could be a good idea to wait until that news is confirmed, which I think is a strong possibility, given that he was present at the shootaround today.

I think this line could only get better if you prefer to wait, otherwise, I’m fine with it at -115 as I think we’ll still get a full complement of minutes from Capela given the other injuries. The Hawks also might not get a chance to use their small ball lineup as much even if Johnson returns, given their matchup with the Bulls who play two traditional centers in Nikola Vucevic and Andre Drummond. The Hawks are already a poor rebounding team and they could get killed on the offensive glass without Capela in the game.

Bet: Clint Capela to record a Double-Double: YES (-115)

Matt Brown

Matt Brown

Head of DFS

Matt's deep-rooted enthusiasm for sports betting and daily fantasy sports infuses the EatWatchDraft team with valuable expertise in football, hockey, and baseball. His forward-thinking perspectives are grounded in a solid academic foundation, including a B.S. in Aeronautical Computer Science and an M.S. in Project Management. This combination of sports passion and technical knowledge fuels Matt's innovative input to the platform.