NFL Week 3 Player Prop Bets for Underdog & Vivid Picks

Chris Lollis
By Chris LollisPublished: September 21, 2023
NFL Week 3 Player Prop Bets for Underdog & Vivid Picks

Heading into Week 3, we are getting a clear picture of the contenders and pretenders on both the team and player level. Expect Minnesota to dominate a lost Chargers defense while Brian Robinson continues to be a force carrying the rock.

QB Kirk Cousins (MIN) OVER 291.5 PASS YDS

If you are searching for a QB to play in DFS lineups, prop plays, or anything else fantasy-related this week, Kirk Cousins should be your pick. The Chargers defense has allowed 877 total yards through two games and will now travel to Minnesota to take on Cousins who’s thrown for over 708 yards so far.

Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and T.J. Hockenson are all matchup nightmares for Brandon Staley’s defense. With the Vikings 0-2, I’m banking on Kevin O’Connell bringing a more prepared team to the table. We love Cousins to go over 300 yards for his 3rd straight game on Sunday.

WR Tyreek Hill (MIA) OVER 85.5 RUSH+REC YDS

With Jaylen Waddle missing practice with a concussion on Wednesday, it’s hard to overlook Hill’s total against the Broncos. Tyreek will be the focal point and the large chess piece in a mind game played between Mike McDaniel and Sean Payton.

Thinking that the new age of the spread offense will get the better of the old-school Payton, let’s bet on Tyreek to bounce back from his “Belichick” week and torch Denver for 100 yards.

WR Stefon Diggs (BUF) OVER 71.5 REC YDS

Stefon Diggs faces a tough Washington secondary, but that should be all the more reason Josh Allen finds him the ball on Sunday. More often than not, Diggs follows a poor fantasy performance up with a great one.

Last season, he hit this under just twice before Week 14 when the Buffalo offense just ran out of steam. In what could end up becoming a tightly contested game, we expect Stefon to make a huge 2nd half impact.

RB Brian Robinson (WAS) OVER 55.5 RUSH YDS

Let’s ride the hot hand in Robinson here. The former Alabama Running Back has hit this over dating back to Week 9 of 2022 against the Vikings. With the Buffalo defense allowing 227 rush yards in the opening two weeks, there’s a great chance for Robinson to rumble to his 56 yards within the first few quarters.

While the game script could turn against the RB in the 2nd half, we know Bienemy and Rivera will want to keep the ball out of Allen’s hands as much as possible so running the ball effectively with Brian will be crucial.

QB Justin Fields (CHI) OVER 0.5 INT

The Chiefs' defense hasn’t gone three straight weeks without an interception since the early part of last season. With Justin throwing four interceptions in his last three games dating back to last season, that should give you all the more reason to bet on a hiccup from this Bears offense. If the stats aren’t bad enough, the eye test is worse as this offensive scheme isn’t working for Chicago and needs a huge fix soon.

QB Patrick Mahomes (KC) OVER 283.5 PASS YDS

Patrick Mahomes averages 302.4 pass yards in wins throughout his regular season career. With the Bears letting up an average of 277 pass yards through their first two losses against Jordan Love & Baker Mayfield, there certainly is cause for concern for this team to sit at 0-3 come Sunday night and for Mahomes to get back on track with Kelce healthy.

WR Deebo Samuel (SF) OVER 14.5 RUSH YDS

The Giants' defense is prone to allow run-heavy teams to dominate them. We saw this against Dallas and then again with Arizona as James Conner went for 106 rush yards.

As the 9ers try to preserve McCaffrey throughout the game, Samuel should pick up some carries as Shanahan seemingly would rather hand it to him than Elijah Mitchell.

Deebo averages 18.3 yards on 2.75 carries in wins and 10 yards on 1.8 carries per game in losses. San Francisco sits around 10-point favorites today, so it might be smart to take a 9ers win and Deebo to run through this Giants defense.

Chris Lollis

Chris Lollis

Chief Content Officer

Chris Lollis, the visionary behind EatWatchDraft, serves as its principal editor. His journey spans over a decade in the sports betting realm, capturing key moments from the overturning of PASPA to the advent of sports wagering across numerous states. Chris enriches EWD with his creation of in-depth guides, insightful reviews, and strategic betting recommendations.