NFL Week 9 Pick'em Picks for Underdog

Matt Brown
By Matt BrownPublished: November 1, 2023
NFL Week 9 Pick'em Picks for Underdog

With our Week 9 prop plays, look to the Seattle/Baltimore matchup and take your swing on a few of their star playmakers.

After securing his first NFL victory last week, expect Bryce Young and Adam Thielen to break out for a monster game against a shaky Indianapolis defense.

RB Isiah Pacheco (KC) OVER 57.5 RUSH YDS

Pacheco comes into Week 9 as one of the most trustworthy and consistent backs in the league, hovering around the RB10 in most formats. He’ll face up against a Miami defense allowing 4.7 YPC and over 112 yards per game on the ground.

While this game might turn into a high-scoring affair, expect Mahomes and Reid to try and slow down Tua and the ‘Fins by chewing the clock to end quarters and halves. 

Look for them to give Pacheco his usual 15-20 carries which will turn into some nice production for the second-year-back.

WR DK Metcalf (SEA) OVER 58.5 REC YDS

It’s been a fairly disappointing campaign for Seattle’s superstar wideout thus far. Metcalf has hit the 100-yard mark just once and has only hauled in two touchdowns while Seattle competes for the NFC West title.

While Baltimore’s secondary normally is one to stray away from, they are bottom three in targets and receptions allowed to opposing receivers and could have their hands full with a healthy DK.

After a 14-target game last week, Week 9 feels like a Metcalf breakout.

TE Mark Andrews (BAL) OVER 54.5 REC YDS

Staying with this matchup of powerful offenses, we are sticking around for another massive Mark Andrews week. Mark has hit this mark four times this season and although he had a fairly quiet Week 8, he’ll face a Seattle defense allowing the 3rd-most YPG to tight ends at 76.7 yards.

While Seattle has a solid secondary, they are a young defense that has allowed some big plays to big-name playmakers this season.

Expect Lamar to connect with Andrews over the middle of the field all day in a pivotal home matchup.

WR Christian Watson (GB) UNDER 48.5 REC YDS

Watson’s near 50-yard projection from Underdog is one we are willing to take the under on. The boom/bust playmaker hasn’t been on the same page as Jordan Love thus far, with just 11 catches in four games.

With the Rams only allowing 13 catches per game to WRs through eight weeks, expect Love to struggle to connect on big plays with Watson as Romeo Doubs, Jayden Reed, and Aaron Jones are better plays if you want to take a bet on the Packers passing attack.

RB Alvin Kamara (NO) OVER 60.5 RUSH YDS

One of the most dominant performers so far, Alvin Kamara hasn’t lost a step. He’s eclipsed 50 rushing yards in every game while averaging 109.6 total yards per game, affecting this New Orleans offense in every aspect.

This Chicago defense has looked lost at times throughout this season and is horrific defending receiving RBs. While Underdog doesn’t have AK’s receiving prop out yet, take a swing on virtually every one of his yard totals.

He should single-handedly decimate the Bears' defense and send them down to the Caleb Williams portal by halftime.

QB Bryce Young (CAR) OVER 225.5 PASS YDS

The best Underdog bet of the week is Bryce Young to hit his passing yard total against the Indianapolis Colts. After securing his first NFL victory, expect Bryce and the Panthers to give the Colts a run for their money at home.

Indy has allowed over 300 yards of total offense in 7 of 8 games this season while opposing QBs are throwing for 400 YPG against a defense that has allowed 33+ points in three straight matchups.

This is the Bryce Young breakout game. Don’t be late to the party.

WR Adam Thielen (CAR) OVER 72.5 REC YDS

The main beneficiary of the Bryce Young breakout game should be Adam Thielen. The veteran hasn’t totaled less than 72 yards since Week 2 and has been one of the most reliable wideout options in the entire league.

Playing out of the slot against this Indy defense, Thielen is the best candidate to reach the century mark in yards this week with the Colts allowing 292 yards per game to wide receivers.

Matt Brown

Matt Brown

Head of DFS

Matt's deep-rooted enthusiasm for sports betting and daily fantasy sports infuses the EatWatchDraft team with valuable expertise in football, hockey, and baseball. His forward-thinking perspectives are grounded in a solid academic foundation, including a B.S. in Aeronautical Computer Science and an M.S. in Project Management. This combination of sports passion and technical knowledge fuels Matt's innovative input to the platform.